Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 12.999353 14.891188 16.909677 19.217718 21.777753 24.524197 27.687246
2025-10-26 9.985557 12.464203 15.291005 18.731260 22.781454 27.374171 32.950574
2025-11-02 8.174315 10.910113 14.194199 18.382404 23.533283 29.610861 37.269345
2025-11-09 6.847330 9.692448 13.262952 18.001277 24.045165 31.412878 40.980161
2025-11-16 5.839164 8.722925 12.490672 17.671218 24.493924 33.048934 44.446519
2025-11-23 4.953375 7.794736 11.652733 17.137240 24.577601 34.151027 47.204923
2025-11-30 4.429822 7.300608 11.332831 17.233254 25.443668 36.241320 51.253881
2025-12-07 3.975716 6.850068 11.019758 17.289689 26.222721 38.209493 55.174147
2025-12-14 3.619287 6.503339 10.815489 17.464943 27.145608 40.374762 59.399480
2025-12-21 3.270698 6.128177 10.530181 17.487230 27.829595 42.212446 63.213542
2025-12-28 3.066388 5.962531 10.542878 17.938350 29.132270 44.934005 68.307214
2026-01-04 2.843578 5.740861 10.445554 18.205164 30.160658 47.286433 72.938920
2026-01-11 2.598675 5.459374 10.235342 18.288842 30.926479 49.302927 77.183719
2026-01-18 2.277252 5.005167 9.703885 17.824771 30.828099 50.049146 79.620531
2026-01-25 2.016778 4.632133 9.274842 17.489879 30.897506 51.023644 82.392341
2026-02-01 1.781561 4.278694 8.847882 17.124010 30.887648 51.861387 84.966302
2026-02-08 1.580343 3.967611 8.468022 16.807212 30.929584 52.762426 87.640094
2026-02-15 1.375643 3.622614 7.995385 16.294781 30.618596 53.096356 89.452112
2026-02-22 1.268501 3.472648 7.873329 16.386911 31.302067 54.984108 93.660326
2026-03-01 1.166814 3.321987 7.736700 16.441066 31.917157 56.774047 97.754156
2026-03-08 1.086584 3.210348 7.666618 16.609246 32.726935 58.888969 102.394636
2026-03-15 0.998325 3.068315 7.523515 16.630635 33.278879 60.598724 106.435468
2026-03-22 0.956486 3.034338 7.597886 17.063608 34.560868 63.519951 112.444453